The IMF predicts an increase in the price of oil in 2022 by almost 55%, for gas – by 147%
14:54 21.04.2022 5362
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has sharply raised its average oil price forecast for 2022. The IMF presented the updated report on April 19, 2022, Neftegaz.RU reports.
The IMF uses a simple average of Brent, WTI and Dubai Fateh oil prices in its calculations. According to the IMF, the average oil price in 2021 was $69.07/bbl.
The estimated price in 2022 will be $106.83/bbl, in 2023 - $92.63/bbl.
As a result, in 2022, the IMF expects oil prices to rise by 54.7% year-on-year and decline by 13.3% in 2023.
A similar situation will be observed in 2022 with natural gas prices, but the growth will be even higher – about 147%, the IMF report notes.
The IMF does not provide a predicted price for gas, fixing only the potential dynamics.
In 2023, as with oil, gas prices are expected to decline as supply balances.
The IMF notes that the rise in oil and gas prices was the result of, among other things, the conflict in Ukraine and Western sanctions against Russia, which led to interruptions in production and supply.
Although the price of oil has risen sharply, the availability of spare capacity in other countries, as well as the release of oil from reserves, is likely to keep this increase contained in the medium term.
Regarding the gas market, the IMF notes the relative inflexibility of the infrastructure necessary for its transportation in comparison with oil. This would mean that global supply could be adjusted with less ease, raising the prospect of higher prices for a longer time.
Europe has to compete with Northeast Asia for spot supplies of liquefied natural gas (LNG), which has pushed up natural gas prices worldwide except for North America.
The IMF expects natural gas prices to remain high until mid-2023 amid supply and energy security concerns, while Europe plans to reduce dependence on Russian natural gas.
Turkmenistan at the UN General Assembly will propose to develop a global strategy for zero growth in greenhouse gas emissions
Turkmenistan at a regular session of the UN General Assembly will make a proposal to develop a global Zero GHG emissions strategy by 2030 and adopt the International Forum on this issue. This proposal is included in the priority positions of Turkmenistan at the 78th session of the UN General Assembly, published on the website of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Turkmenistan.
Iraq establishes committee to purchase Turkmen and Qatari gas
Iraqi Energy Minister Ziyad Ali Fadel told reporters about the formation of a joint committee to discuss issues of supplies of Turkmen and Qatari natural gas, the Iraqi news agency Iraqi News reports.
The summit of the heads of Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan and Tajikistan will give a new impetus to cooperation, - Shavkat Mirziyoyev
The summit of the heads of Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan and Tajikistan, held on August 4 in Ashgabat, will give a new impetus to interstate cooperation. This was stated by the President of Uzbekistan Shavkat Mirziyoyev in a letter addressed to the National Leader of the Turkmen people, Chairman of the Halk Maslakhaty of Turkmenistan Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedov.
Azerbaijan has laid an underwater pipeline commissioned by Turkmenistan
Pipe-laying vessel “Suleiman Vezirov”, owned by CJSC Azerbaijan Caspian Shipping Company (ASCO), completed the laying of the underwater pipeline at the oil field LAM and ZHDANOV in the Caspian Sea.
Businessmen from the UAE and Afghanistan purchased products of the Turkmennebit at the auction
40 transactions were registered at the auctions of the State Commodity and Raw Materials Exchange of Turkmenistan last week.